Yields fell 3-5bps as investors await the FOMC and other action this week. Stocks started off the week strong with Tesla gaining approval for self driving/driving assistance in China. Oil fell on cease fire hopes and the Yen stabilized around 156 v. USD after a wild weekend where it had touched 160.
The Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement showed their estimates for the April - June borrowings at $41billion more than forecast back in January, while also projecting $847 billion in new borrowings in July to September quarter. We'll get more details on the mix of Treasury issuance this Wednesday ahead of the FOMC.
On the day ahead it's Employment Cost Index data, S&P housing prices and Amazon earnings.
XTOD: Stagflation, you say? NY Fed's estimate of underlying inflation is basically flat at 2.6 percent
XTOD: "Every person who is angry about inflation should go to their local planning board and demand more high-density housing in their neighborhood. That’s what we must have to be a vibrant economy. Housing is crucial." - @Claudia_Sahm
XTOD: "Apollo Accused in Lawsuit of Illegal Human Life Wagering Scheme" Creditors to APO portcos have been subject to this for decades
XTOD: 🚨Holy Moly🚨 We're on course to spend $𝟎.𝟗 𝐭𝐨 $𝟏.𝟒 𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 on debt cancellation. That's more than we spent ALL higher education spending before 2020, and as much as we are on course to appropriate for TOTAL education over the next decade. https://crfb.org/blogs/total-cost-student-debt-cancellation
XTOD: Look at each item on your to-do list and ask, "Is this truly necessary?”
https://x.com/paulkrugman/status/1785008086681260130
https://x.com/SteveMatthews12/status/1784934672125820982
https://x.com/AyyouEm/status/1785013061973381226
https://x.com/MarcGoldwein/status/1785029146273288310
https://x.com/JamesClear/status/1784930141438685454
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